3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,383 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$26/mo
Annual
$316/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.78%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($316/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (15.4% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $123k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#301 in OH, #4,837 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: commute D+, employment D, amenities F.
Shelby City (town): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #269 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Shelby Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #456 of 1,584 statewide, top 31%, 900 students, 0% FRL); Shelby Middle School (math 65% / reading 62%, grade B+, #228 of 654 statewide, top 35%, 454 students, 99% FRL); Shelby High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #243 of 781 statewide, top 33%, 499 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29