3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$872/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.23%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($872/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (12.9% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $122k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#362 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Sandusky Community School District (town): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #169 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Sanilac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sanilac County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VX8M5GAXE5GC3Y
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29