2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 216 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$783/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,865/yr
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.60%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($783 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#118 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Edwards Elementary (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #276 of 597 statewide, top 48%, 539 students, 100% FRL); Chesterfield-Ruby Middle (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #128 of 229 statewide, top 58%, 414 students, 100% FRL); Chesterfield High (math 37% / reading 87%, grade B-, #99 of 196 statewide, top 53%, 516 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chesterfield 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VY84V2B8VBZXXH
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29