4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,587 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 325 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$-143/mo
Annual
$-1,720/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (10.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (29.7% below list).
It's been on market 325 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Parkview Elementary (384 students, 100% FRL); Yucca Middle (572 students, 100% FRL); Clovis High (math 31% / reading 49%, grade F, #60 of 110 statewide, top 54%, 1,544 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 325 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29