9 bd · None ba ·
3,504 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,762
Net cashflow
$4,215/mo
Annual
$50,585/yr
Cap rate
20.79%
Cash-on-cash
51.77%
DSCR
3.30
1% rule
2.40%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $318k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#430 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
Hudson City School District (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #494 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 136 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Columbia County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 3.3% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,389/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1083% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VZJGCH4AAP5MQ0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29