2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,779 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$429/mo
Annual
$5,154/yr
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.28%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#249 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crab Orchard Elementary (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 458 students, 0% FRL); Stone Memorial High School (math 19% / reading 45%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 1,031 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 596 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.2% in Fairfield Glade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VZRH552M5K17MF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29