3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,421 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$989
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$-30/mo
Annual
$-362/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.69%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$52,780
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $188k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-362/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (20.7% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bossier Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 646 statewide, top 88%, 222 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 41% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 12% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-31 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bossier Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Bossier City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VZRX4Y18991C9Y
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29