2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 267 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$141
Tax + insurance
−$45
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$1,236/mo
Annual
$14,837/yr
Cap rate
61.45%
Cash-on-cash
196.99%
DSCR
9.76
1% rule
6.69%
Cash to close
$7,532
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $27k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $186 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $807 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Auburn Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,149 of 1,397 statewide, top 84%, 306 students, 77% FRL); Avondale Middle School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #264 of 493 statewide, top 54%, 630 students, 58% FRL); Avondale High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #128 of 713 statewide, top 19%, 1,004 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 28% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 61.4% vs local median 3.7% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VZZYWX123N3K77
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29