3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,283 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,816/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$1,296/mo
Annual
$15,554/yr
Cap rate
84.06%
Cash-on-cash
277.75%
DSCR
13.36
1% rule
9.08%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arp Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #148 of 151 statewide, top 98%, 333 students, 72% FRL); Johnson Junior High School (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #53 of 55 statewide, top 96%, 647 students, 66% FRL); South High School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #62 of 75 statewide, top 82%, 1,187 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 32% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Laramie County School District #1 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W005YD08S6ZBR5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29