3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,699/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$465/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.52%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($465/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#68 in IL, #1,121 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D+.
Proviso Twp Hsd 209 (suburban): math 12% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #507 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Grant Elem School (301 students, 0% FRL); Roosevelt Middle School (695 students, 0% FRL); Proviso West High School (math 6% / reading 11%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,868 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— need to replace old, inefficient units
Major: bathroom fixtures
— need to replace old, inefficient units
Major: flooring
— need to replace damaged hardwoods
Major: interior walls
— need to repair and paint peeling paint
Major: exterior siding
— need to replace weathered siding
Major: windows
— need to replace old, single-pane windows
CashFlowRE · CFR-W00CYE8RM5DT15
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29