35 bd · 20.0 ba ·
2,459 sqft ·
Built 1981
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,062
Net cashflow
$1,237/mo
Annual
$14,842/yr
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.29%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 4×2bd/0.75ba + 1×1bd/0.75ba units multifamily listed at $399k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $247/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $393k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#116 in VT) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Pittsburg School District (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #165 of 171 in NH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.1% in Beecher Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W0FBYDECJF5DXQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29