3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,804 sqft ·
Built 2018
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$792
HOA
−$46
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$-646/mo
Annual
$-7,757/yr
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.77%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-646 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (33.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (26.5% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $226k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W0PKMB11XE3WSG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29