2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
983 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$663/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$574
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$139
Net cashflow
$-206/mo
Annual
$-2,467/yr
Cap rate
4.04%
Cash-on-cash
-8.05%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$30,660
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $73k (33.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $66k (39.4% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MN, #2,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
Crookston Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #151 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Highland Elementary (math 51% / reading 53%, grade C-, #368 of 857 statewide, top 47%, 435 students, 66% FRL); Crookston Secondary (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #215 of 471 statewide, top 46%, 547 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 37% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $110k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W1A6JZ938H0GDR
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29