3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,469 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$535
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$462
Net cashflow
$233/mo
Annual
$2,796/yr
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.40%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#294 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Westville Boro Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #439 of 612 in NJ (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Parkview Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,012 of 1,303 statewide, top 79%, 327 students, 64% FRL); Gateway Regional High School (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #312 of 399 statewide, top 79%, 849 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Westville Boro Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $185k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Westville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W1EZZJ9TSVXZ1M
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29