2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$882/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$665/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.38%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($665/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (11.7% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
West Canada Valley Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #296 of 590 in NY (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $100k implies a 919% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W1F7E029G8R46V
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29