12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
1,840 sqft ·
Built 1957
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,772/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,570
Tax + insurance
−$976
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,212
Net cashflow
$1,014/mo
Annual
$12,174/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.87%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$137,200
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $490k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $169/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $490k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $446k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#600 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Pasadena ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #612 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gardens El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 451 students, 94% FRL); Jackson Int (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 643 students, 94% FRL); Sam Rayburn H S (math 52% / reading 36%, grade F, #697 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,645 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 71% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.5% in Pasadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-W1NC21B6FKJYZ2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29