3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,313 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,555/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$-153/mo
Annual
$-1,835/yr
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.28%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#36 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, health & safety F.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 16% / reading 54%, grade F, #291 of 627 statewide, top 47%, 614 students, 66% FRL); Fairview Middle School (math 12% / reading 53%, grade F, #105 of 257 statewide, top 42%, 305 students, 64% FRL); Fairview High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 501 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Cullman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W210QXF4KB4B27
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29