3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,030 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$41
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$748/mo
Annual
$8,972/yr
Cap rate
36.30%
Cash-on-cash
107.17%
DSCR
5.77
1% rule
4.00%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Ignace Area Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #268 of 760 in MI (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Mackinac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mackinac County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $23k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W2PXZK3VE9T11Z
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29