2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,393 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,774
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$-981/mo
Annual
$-11,768/yr
Cap rate
4.07%
Cash-on-cash
-7.94%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$148,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $529k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-981 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $356k (32.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (45.2% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($513k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (45.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $57k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $53k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sherman School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #87 of 192 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sherman School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 264 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$91k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W2VWSJCJ0453B1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29