3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 227 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,572/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$226
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$46/mo
Annual
$554/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.07%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($554/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (15.0% below list).
It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#32 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Neshobe School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #188 of 192 statewide, top 99%, 440 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Rutland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rutland County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 1.8% in Brandon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W2Z08V23XYG5D3
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29