5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,236 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,602/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$525
HOA
−$44
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$547
Net cashflow
$-165/mo
Annual
$-1,980/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.24%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $291k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $260k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Catawba Trail Elementary (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #256 of 597 statewide, top 45%, 591 students, 59% FRL); Spring Valley High (math 53% / reading 92%, grade B+, #46 of 196 statewide, top 24%, 2,187 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,602/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1564% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-W3NQD54FYVH0K6
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29