200 S Post Oak

Winnsboro, TX 75494

$59,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Built 1964 · SingleFamily · Active · 97 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,200/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax + insurance: −$139
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$462
• Net cashflow: $1,289/mo
• Annual: $15,470/yr
• Cap rate: 32.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 93.64%
• DSCR: 5.17
• 1% rule: 3.73%
• Cash to close: $16,520

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
• It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#416 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Winnsboro ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #330 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Winnsboro El (355 students, 71% FRL); Winnsboro J H (math 48% / reading 40%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 360 students, 53% FRL); Winnsboro H S (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 492 students, 65% FRL).
• Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 2.9% in Winnsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — The roof shows significant damage and potential leaks.
• Major: exterior siding — The siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement.
• Major: flooring — The flooring is exposed and damaged, requiring full replacement.
• Major: interior walls — The walls are unfinished and show significant wear, requiring full renovation.
• Major: HVAC system — The HVAC system is in poor condition and requires replacement.