5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,384 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$409/mo
Annual
$4,902/yr
Cap rate
13.89%
Cash-on-cash
27.14%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#131 in VA, #4,220 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Dickenson County Public School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Clintwood Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 425 students, 90% FRL); Ridgeview Middle (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 440 students, 89% FRL); Ridgeview High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 592 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 52% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Dickenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickenson County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Major: exterior siding
— poor condition
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29