2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1941
· Condo
· Active
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,727/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$692
HOA
−$663
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-824/mo
Annual
$-9,886/yr
Cap rate
3.29%
Cash-on-cash
-10.71%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-824 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $40k (75.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (75.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Zoned schools: Ghent K-8 (math 47% / reading 75%, grade B, #524 of 1,108 statewide, top 48%, 482 students, 97% FRL); Blair Middle (math 29% / reading 57%, grade D-, #288 of 342 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 92% FRL); Granby High (math 33% / reading 80%, grade C, #270 of 319 statewide, top 86%, 1,837 students, 94% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 38% of rent; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.1%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 75% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29