4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,689/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$298/mo
Annual
$3,572/yr
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.51%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#380 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Palmyra-Eagle Area School District (rural): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #276 of 342 in WI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Eagle Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #746 of 1,041 statewide, top 75%, 265 students, 37% FRL); Palmyra-Eagle Middle (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #261 of 383 statewide, top 73%, 114 students, 37% FRL); Palmyra-Eagle High (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #414 of 483 statewide, top 87%, 195 students, 33% FRL).
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: paint
— paint appears faded and needs touch-up
Major: interior walls
— paint appears faded and needs touch-up
Minor: exterior siding
— snow-covered, no visible damage
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· Data 44 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29