3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,424 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,171/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$548/mo
Annual
$6,573/yr
Cap rate
18.03%
Cash-on-cash
41.92%
DSCR
2.87
1% rule
2.09%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#124 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Florence 03 (town): math 16% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #67 of 80 in SC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Main Street Elementary (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #582 of 597 statewide, top 98%, 334 students, 100% FRL); Ronald E. Mcnair Jr. High (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #221 of 229 statewide, top 97%, 209 students, 100% FRL); Lake City High (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #183 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 592 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 83% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $2k; list at $56k implies a 2700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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