4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,888 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,380/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$259
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$-112/mo
Annual
$-1,348/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (11.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#514 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Corinth Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #448 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in Corinth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W62B9EE0H3ZRGK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29