3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,369 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 146 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$540
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$331/mo
Annual
$3,977/yr
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.80%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$28,812
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $103k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $103k).
It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $711 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#673 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lexington Local (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #113 of 656 in OH (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Morrow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morrow County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.4% in Ontario — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W6DA594BEWYX07
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29