1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
625 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$462
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$812/yr
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.27%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($812/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #11 of 86 in CO (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Village East Community Elementary School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #793 of 966 statewide, top 84%, 689 students, 68% FRL); Prairie Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #245 of 270 statewide, top 91%, 1,383 students, 71% FRL); Overland High School (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #216 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,109 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 21% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-30 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,927 units permitted in Arapahoe County in 2024 (1,525 in 5+ unit buildings).
Arapahoe County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $37k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.8% in Four Square Mile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W6PTJ13APCMJVF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29