3 bd · 0.5 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 2019
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,567/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$249/mo
Annual
$2,988/yr
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.62%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$39,197
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Iowa Park CISD (town): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #129 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kidwell El (467 students, 48% FRL); W F George Middle (math 52% / reading 41%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 436 students, 42% FRL); Iowa Park H S (math 72% / reading 67%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 544 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W6ZB6J2WQPAHR5
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29