2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,894 sqft ·
Built 1860
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,226/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$161/mo
Annual
$1,934/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#363 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Milton-Union Exempted Village (rural): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #324 of 656 in OH (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Milton-Union Elementary School (math 61% / reading 61%, grade B, #652 of 1,584 statewide, top 41%, 609 students, 0% FRL); Milton-Union Middle School (math 56% / reading 58%, grade B, #305 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 349 students, 0% FRL); Milton-Union High School (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #390 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 383 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 62% district-wide (29 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W76DAC4QCN3Q1M
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29