1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
666 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,578/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$514
Tax + insurance
−$85
HOA
−$705
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-680/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.48%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$27,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-680/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $88k (10.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $88k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#158 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, employment B+, commute B; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety C-, amenities D-.
Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Flower Valley Elementary (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #169 of 860 statewide, top 20%, 540 students, 33% FRL); Earle B. Wood Middle (math 14% / reading 45%, grade F, #67 of 225 statewide, top 32%, 1,068 students, 50% FRL); Rockville High (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #73 of 222 statewide, top 34%, 1,516 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 246 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.4% in Leisure World — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W81B691X429F2D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29