2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,100/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.15%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#705 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Armstrong Twp Hsd 225 (rural): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #743 of 919 in IL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W8ZCDK7E9V6RT7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29