3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Other
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$849/yr
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
7.01%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($849/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (3.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#380 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Twin Rivers R-X (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #250 of 324 in MO (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fisk Elementary (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #842 of 1,115 statewide, top 76%, 345 students, 89% FRL); Qulin Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 120 students, 82% FRL); Twin Rivers High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 249 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 57% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butler County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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