4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,340/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$954
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$-214/mo
Annual
$-2,566/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.04%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$50,932
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $182k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (20.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (26.4% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#512 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rockport-Ohio Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 318 students, 61% FRL); South Spencer Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 228 students, 56% FRL); South Spencer High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 369 statewide, top 18%, 357 students, 44% FRL).
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-W9TJPK3F4BSSG1
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29