2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,070 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,268/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$675
HOA
−$783
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$896
Net cashflow
$105/mo
Annual
$1,254/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $335k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-534 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gulfport Montessori Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,744 of 2,144 statewide, top 82%, 435 students, 86% FRL); Bay Point Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 770 students, 69% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 915 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 48% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WB1GZE12E34BHB
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29