9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
3,120 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Other
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$471
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$-137/mo
Annual
$-1,645/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.46%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 9-bed/3.9-bath other listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (8.7% below list).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,256 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Blue Ridge SD (rural): math 29% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Ridge El Sch (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 495 students, 100% FRL); Blue Ridge Ms (math 19% / reading 58%, grade F, #275 of 512 statewide, top 55%, 219 students, 100% FRL); Blue Ridge Hs (math 54%, 290 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 42% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WC8D5T304W6R9X
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29