8 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,968 sqft ·
Built 1850
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 280 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$723/mo
Annual
$8,677/yr
Cap rate
28.04%
Cash-on-cash
77.67%
DSCR
4.46
1% rule
3.54%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 755 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WC92G4C3W5SFTS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29