3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,834 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,326/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$608
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,997/yr
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.51%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $208/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Sloan Union Free School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #555 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $83k; list at $155k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,326/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WCHZJN5CST9JH6
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29