3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$181/mo
Annual
$2,177/yr
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.16%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#660 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Laclede County R-I (rural): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #145 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ezard Elem. (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #231 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 433 students, 55% FRL); Conway High Schools (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #382 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 384 students, 55% FRL).
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Laclede County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laclede County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WDETJEAZJZ5MDB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29