3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$433
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$565/mo
Annual
$6,783/yr
Cap rate
14.51%
Cash-on-cash
29.36%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$23,100
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Sapulpa (suburban): math 23% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #129 of 270 in OK (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Creek County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.8% in Sapulpa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WDGVA4DSG5C16F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29