3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 751 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,323/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$368
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$561/mo
Annual
$6,732/yr
Cap rate
15.90%
Cash-on-cash
34.30%
DSCR
2.53
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$19,628
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 751 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $485 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#409 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
North Fond Du Lac School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #330 of 342 in WI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Fond du Lac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fond du Lac County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
15 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 751 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WDQGD7BYVCFE4E
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29