2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$831/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$501
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$174
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,092/yr
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.08%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$26,740
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (16.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($660 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $96k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WEFW3D8T7316M9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29