3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,704 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Townhouse
· Coming Soon
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-50/mo
Annual
$-602/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.81%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-602/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (3.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (12.3% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $232k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, amenities F.
York 02 (rural): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #2 of 80 in SC (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 359 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Clover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WEMG58F5TE636T
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29