1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
586 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Active
· 174 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$819
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$515
Net cashflow
$-280/mo
Annual
$-3,363/yr
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.48%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (22.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $169k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#8 in HI, #2,917 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wailuku Elementary School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #143 of 183 statewide, top 78%, 562 students, 64% FRL); Maui Waena Intermediate School (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #19 of 42 statewide, top 46%, 1,044 students, 45% FRL); Henry Perrine Baldwin High School (math 30% / reading 57%, grade F, #23 of 43 statewide, top 52%, 1,338 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $219k implies a 415% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29