3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$762
HOA
−$1,488
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,070
Net cashflow
$-213/mo
Annual
$-2,551/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.40%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $379k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-213 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $341k (9.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $379k).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $341k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#415 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Beacon Cove Intermediate School (math 84% / reading 86%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 641 students, 19% FRL); Jupiter Middle School (math 62% / reading 63%, grade B+, #116 of 571 statewide, top 21%, 1,384 students, 38% FRL); Jupiter High School (math 56% / reading 64%, grade C+, #106 of 667 statewide, top 16%, 3,087 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $86k; list at $379k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WF0TV71JMP0YCE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29