4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,394 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,145/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$264/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.47%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#159 in IL, #2,964 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities D-.
Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Nathan Hale Primary School (396 students, 0% FRL); Nathan Hale Middle School (335 students, 0% FRL); A B Shepard High Sch (Campus) (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #350 of 693 statewide, top 51%, 1,973 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $154k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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