3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,392/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$595
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$-226/mo
Annual
$-2,710/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.34%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-226 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#169 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Norton Elementary School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 952 students, 77% FRL); Snellville Middle School (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 882 students, 75% FRL); South Gwinnett High School (math 14% / reading 8%, grade F, #347 of 424 statewide, top 82%, 2,677 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 47% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Snellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WG3S4Y0Y5PV47B
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29