3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,332 sqft ·
Built 1885
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 289 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,248/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$744/mo
Annual
$8,925/yr
Cap rate
31.79%
Cash-on-cash
91.07%
DSCR
5.05
1% rule
3.56%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $616 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $374 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: John F Kennedy School (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,632 of 2,108 statewide, top 78%, 462 students, 55% FRL); Ogdensburg Free Academy (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,030 of 1,100 statewide, top 94%, 714 students, 58% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 7.0% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and potential leaks.
Major: siding
— Signs of wear and discoloration.
Major: fencing
— Deteriorating condition.
Major: landscaping
— Sparse and in need of maintenance.
Major: exterior paint
— Signs of wear and discoloration.
Minor: interior paint
— No major issues visible, but could benefit from touch-ups.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WGC7KM3J76KZ60
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29