2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 352 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$400/mo
Annual
$4,800/yr
Cap rate
15.99%
Cash-on-cash
34.63%
DSCR
2.54
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#777 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Willsboro Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #562 of 755 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $65k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WHEJJD7KP1VTBS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29